Fourth Annual
Bank of Canada-Tsinghua PBCSF-University of Toronto Conference on the Chinese Economy
Beijing, November 9-10, 2018
ABOUT THE CONFERENCE
The fourth annual Bank of Canada-Tsinghua PBCSF-University of Toronto Conference on the Chinese Economy is jointly sponsored by the Bank of Canada, the PBC School of Finance at Tsinghua University and the Institute for Management and Innovation at the University of Toronto. The conference will be held on November 9-10, 2018 at the PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University. This conference aims to provide researchers and policy-makers the opportunity to discuss theoretical and empirical perspectives on China’s recent economic growth experience and its implications for the global economy.
Co-organizers:
The Bank of Canada
PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University
University of Toronto
Keynote and Invited Speakers:
- Timothy Lane, Deputy Governor, Bank of Canada
- Justin Lin, Dean, Institute of New Structural Economics; Dean, Institute of South-South Cooperation and Development; Professor and Honorary Dean, National School of Development, Peking University
- Guofeng Sun, Director-General, Monetary Policy Department, the People’s Bank of China
- Daniel Trefler, J.Douglas and Ruth Grant Canada Research Chair Professor in Competiveness and Prosperity, University of Toronto
- Shang-Jin Wei, N.T. Wang Professor of Chinese Business and Economy, Columbia University; Academic Director, Fanhai International School of Finance, Fudan University
Organizing Committee
- Mark Kruger, Bank of Canada
- Walter Steingress, Bank of Canada
- Xu Tian, University of Toronto
- Hao Zhou, Tsinghua University
- Xiaodong Zhu, University of Toronto; Tsinghua University
PROGRAM SUMMARY
Friday, November 9
08:30-08:35 Introduction
08:35-09:00 Opening Remarks
09:00-10:30 Session 1: Financial and Trade Liberalizations and Resource Allocation
10:30-10:45 Coffee Break
10:45-11:45 Keynote Speech: An Unhealthy Trade Surplus
11:45-12:45 Lunch
13:00-13:45 Luncheon Speech
13:45-16:15 Session 2: Trade Linkages and Trade Disputes
16:15-16:30 Coffee Break
16:30-17:45 Panel on Trade Policy
18:00-20:00 Dinner
Saturday, November 10
09:00-11:30 Session 3: Connections and Business Networks
11:30-12:30 Lunch
12:45-13:30 Luncheon Speech
13:30-14:45 Keynote Speech: Convergence, Financial Development, and Policy Analysis
14:45-15:00 Coffee Break
15:00-17:30 Session 4: Application of Big Data
17:30-17:45 Concluding Remarks
Conference Venue:
3-300, 3/F Building 3, PBC School of Finance
Registration & Help Desk:
07:30-17:00, November 9 Lobby, 1/F Building 1, PBC School of Finance
08:00-17:00, November 10 3-300, 3/F Building 3, PBC School of Finance
Catering:
Refreshments are available outside 3-300.
All lunches and dinner are open to keynote speakers, panelists, committee members, session chairs, presenters and other invited guests, which will be served at Cafeteria, B1/F Building 3, PBC School of Finance.
CONFERENCE PROGRAM
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9 · MORNING SESSIONS
08:30-08:35 Introduction
- Xiaodong Zhu (University of Toronto and Tsinghua University)
08:35-09:00 Opening Remarks
- Min Zhu, Chairman, National Institute of Financial Research, Tsinghua University
- Rhys Mendes, Managing Director, Bank of Canada
Session 1: Financial and Trade Liberalizations and Resource Allocation
Chair: Xu Tian (University of Toronto)
09:00-09:45 Shadow Banking: China’s Dual-Track Interest Rate Liberalization
- Hao Wang (Tsinghua University)
- Hongling Wang (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
- Lisheng Wang (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)
- Hao Zhou (Tsinghua University)
9:45-10:30 Misallocation under Trade Liberalization
- Yan Bai (University of Rochester)
- Keyu Jin (The London School of Economics and Political Science)
- Dan Lu (University of Rochester)
10:30-10:45 Coffee Break
Keynote Speech
Chair: Jiandong Ju (Tsinghua University)
10:45-11:45 An Unhealthy Trade Surplus
- Jungho Lee (Singapore Management University)
- Shang-Jin Wei (Columbia University and Fudan University)
- Jianhuan Xu (Singapore Management University)
11:45-12:45 Lunch
Luncheon
Chair: Xiaodong Zhu
13:00-13:45 Luncheon Speech
Guofeng Sun, Director-General, Monetary Policy Department, the People’s Bank of China
CONFERENCE PROGRAM
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9 · AFTERNOON SESSIONS
Session 2: Trade Linkages and Trade Disputes
Chair: Kun Mo (Bank of Canada)
13:45-14:30 International Joint Ventures and Internal vs. External Technology Transfer: Evidence from China
- Kun Jiang (Nottingham University Business School)
- Wolfgang Keller (University of Colorado Boulder)
- Larry Qiu (University of Hong Kong)
- William Ridley (University of Colorado Boulder)
14:30-14:45 Coffee Break
14:45-15:30 Trade Linkages and Firm Value: Evidence from the 2018 US-China “Trade War”
- Yi Huang (Graduate Institute, Geneva)
- Chen Lin (University of Hong Kong)
- Sibo Liu (University of Hong Kong)
- Heiwai Tang (School of Advance International Studies, Johns Hopkins)
15:30-16:15 Trade Wars along the Global Value Chains
- Jiandong Ju (Tsinghua University)
- Hong Ma (Tsinghua University)
- Zi Wang (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
- Xiaodong Zhu (University of Toronto and Tsinghua University)
16:15-16:30 Coffee Break
Panel on Trade Policy
16:30-17:00 Lead Discussion
- Dan Trefler (University of Toronto)
17:00-17:45 Panel Discussions
- Loren Brandt (University of Toronto)
- Jiandong Ju (Tsinghua University)
- Dan Trefler (University of Toronto)
- Shang-Jin Wei (Columbia University and Fudan University)
18:00-20:00 Conference Dinner
CONFERENCE PROGRAM
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 10 · MORNING SESSIONS
Session 3: Connections and Business Networks
Chair: Mark Kruger
09:00-09:45 Serial Entrepreneurs in China
- Loren Brandt (University of Toronto)
- Ruochen Dai (Peking University)
- Gueorgui Kambourov (University of Toronto)
- Kjetil Storesletten (University of Oslo)
- Xiaobo Zhang (IFPRI and Peking University)
09:45-10:30 Conglomerate Formation in China
- Chong-En Bai (School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University)
- Chang-Tai Hsieh (The University of Chicago Booth School of Business)
- Zheng (Michael) Song (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)
- Xin Wang (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)
10:30-10:45 Coffee Break
10:45-11:30 Community Networks and the Growth of the Private Enterprise in China
- Ruochen Dai (Peking University)
- Dilip Mookherjee (Boston University)
- Kaivan Munshi (University of Cambridge)
- Xiaobo Zhang (IFPRI and Peking University)
11:30-12:30 Lunch
Luncheon
Chair: Yanqing Yang (Yicai Research Institute)
12:45-13:30 Luncheon Speech (private and off-the-record)
- Timothy Lane, Deputy Governor, Bank of Canada
CONFERENCE PROGRAM
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 10 · AFTERNOON SESSIONS
Keynote Speech
Chair: Hao Zhou
13:30-14:45 Convergence, Financial Development, and Policy Analysis
- Justin Lin (Peking University)
- Jianjun Miao (Boston University)
- Pengfei Wang (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
14:45-15:00 Coffee Break
Session 4: Application of Big Data
Chair: Fudong Zhang (Tsinghua University)
15:00-15:45 Can Media and Text Analytics Provide Insights into Labour Market Conditions in China?
- Jeannine Bailliu (Bank of Canada)
- Xinfen Han (Bank of Canada)
- Mark Kruger (Bank of Canada)
- Yu-Hsien Liu (Bank of Canada)
- Sri Thanabalasingam (Bank of Canada)
15:45-16:30 Fintech and Firm Selection: Evidence from E-commerce Platform Lending
- Yi Huang (The Graduate Institute Geneva)
- Ye Li (Ohio State University)
- Hongzhe Shan (Shanghai Finance Institute)
16:30-16:45 Coffee break
16:45-17:30 What Do a Billion Observations Say about Distance and Relationship Lending?
- Haoyu Gao (Central University of Finance and Economics)
- Hong Ru (Nanyang Technological University)
- Xiaoguang Yang (Chinese Academy of Science)
17:30-17:45 Concluding Remarks
- Hao Zhou, Associate Dean, PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University
Previous Conferences
Programs of the conference in previous years can be found below:
- First Annual Conference on the Chinese Economy (University of Toronto, April 2015)
- Second Annual Conference on the Chinese Economy (University of Toronto, October 2016)
- Third Annual Conference on the Chinese Economy (Institute for Management & Innovation, University of Toronto Mississauga, September 2017)
Venue
- PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University